{"id":49228,"date":"2023-06-11T08:00:19","date_gmt":"2023-06-10T23:00:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/norimen.net\/wordpress\/?p=49228"},"modified":"2026-05-17T00:33:24","modified_gmt":"2026-05-16T15:33:24","slug":"ill-be-fine-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/norimen.net\/en\/i-will-be-fine-1\/","title":{"rendered":"\"It Won't Happen to Me!\" The Psychology of Human Decision-Making Based on Heuristics"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hello, everyone.<\/p>\n

This is Enta.<\/p>\n

We've been having a lot of heavy rain and typhoons lately, haven't we?<\/p>\n

\"Weather<\/p>\n

Well, I guess it'll go through just fine.<\/p>\n

It probably isn't a big deal.<\/p>\n

And,\"I'm sure I'll be fine.\"<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

That's what you'd think, right?<\/p>\n

This is extremely dangerous, but why do you think that?<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

It seems that people make judgments by taking shortcuts in their thinking, and thatHeuristics<\/span><\/strong>is what they say.
\n(Thinking Shortcuts = Heuristics)<\/p>\n

To put it simply,<\/p>\n

President = Older<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Doctors = Men<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

People who wear glasses = serious<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Nurses = Kind
\n<\/strong><\/span>
\nHeuristics \u2014 Wikipedia<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

When people make judgments, they often look at only a part of the situation and treat it as \u201crepresentative\u201d of the whole.<\/p>\n

Using this as a basis for decision-making is called the representativeness heuristic.<\/p>\n

There are three types of heuristics: \"representativeness,\" \"recall (availability),\" and \"anchoring.\"<\/p>\n

If you've never been in an accident or been injured before,<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

As a result of that shortcut in thinking,<\/span><\/strong><\/span>That leads to the conclusion that I'm okay.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\"Hit\"<\/p>\n

It's just like buying a lottery ticket.<\/p>\n

You buy them thinking, \u201cMaybe I\u2019ll win this time!\u201d right? (I don\u2019t buy them, though, lol)<\/p>\n

Apparently, the odds of winning the first prize of 200 million are about 1 in 10 million.<\/p>\n

Even so, I can't help but think, \"Maybe I'll win!\"<\/p>\n

There was a sign at that sales counter that said, \u201cA first prize of 200 million was won right here!\u201d and,<\/p>\n

That's why you think, \"I should buy it here!\"<\/p>\n

And before you know it, the constant airplay of commercials plants a positive image in your mind that it\u2019s a sure winner.<\/p>\n

(Commonly known as the anchoring effect) Anchoring heuristics<\/p>\n

\"Maybe I'll win?\"\u2014because they can't imagine how incredibly unlikely it is.Getting Carried Away by a Simplistic Image<\/strong>That's right.<\/p>\n

\n

\"The<\/p>\n

I just can't picture what kind of accidents happen on-site!<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

This means that no matter how many \"KY\" activities we carry out or how much safety training we provide, they still can't seem to grasp the concept.<\/p>\n

That's why they engage in unsafe behavior.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

I\u2019m no exception\u2014I\u2019ve been in this industry for 28 years now.<\/p>\n

To date, there have been no accidents during construction on any of the sites I have supervised.<\/p>\n

So,I believe\u2014and so does my company\u2014that there is no way we would ever cause an accident.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

However,This just won't do.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

So, what should we do?<\/p>\n

I'll save that for another time.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

See you later.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hello, everyone. This is Enta. We\u2019ve been having a lot of heavy rain and typhoons lately, haven\u2019t we? You probably think, \u201cOh, it\u2019ll just pass through as usual,\u201d or \u201cIt probably won\u2019t be a big deal,\u201d or \u201cI\u2019ll be fine.\u201d That\u2019s exactly what you\u2019re thinking, right? This is actually very dangerous, but why do you think that way? \u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2283,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[111],"tags":[89,151,5250,5737,5738,5739],"class_list":["post-49228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-safety","tag-89","tag-151","tag-5250","tag-5737","tag-5738","tag-5739"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\n\u81ea\u5206\u3060\u3051\u306f\u5927\u4e08\u592b\uff01\u30d2\u30e5\u30fc\u30ea\u30b9\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30af\u30b9\u3067\u5224\u65ad\u3059\u308b\u4eba\u9593\u306e\u5fc3\u7406 - 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