{"id":2282,"date":"2017-01-06T08:00:34","date_gmt":"2017-01-05T23:00:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/norimen.net\/wordpress\/?p=2282"},"modified":"2026-05-15T19:42:01","modified_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:42:01","slug":"self-only-is-a-safe-heuristic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/norimen.net\/en\/self-only-is-safe-heuristics\/","title":{"rendered":"The \"It Won't Happen to Me\" Trap | The Dangers of Heuristic Thinking"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hello, everyone.<\/p>\n<p>This is Enta.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I'm fully back at work now.<\/p>\n<p>We're also starting work on-site today.<\/p>\n<p>Accidents do tend to happen more frequently during this time of year.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I guess I just let my guard down.<\/p>\n<p>And,<span style=\"color: #0000ff; font-size: 18px;\"><strong>I tend to think that I'm the only one who'll be okay.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>This is actually very dangerous, but,<\/p>\n<p>So why do you think that?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>It seems that people make judgments by taking shortcuts in their thinking, and that<strong><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\">Heuristics<\/span><\/strong>is what they say.<br \/>\n (Thinking Shortcuts = Heuristics)<br \/>\n To put it simply,<br \/>\n <span style=\"font-size: 18px; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>President = Older<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n <span style=\"font-size: 18px; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Doctors = Men<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n <span style=\"font-size: 18px; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>People who wear glasses = serious<\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n <span style=\"font-size: 18px; color: #0000ff;\"><strong>Nurses = Kind<br \/>\n <\/strong><\/span><br \/>\n <span style=\"font-size: 18px;\"><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\"><a style=\"color: #0000ff; text-decoration: underline;\" href=\"https:\/\/ja.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E3%83%92%E3%83%A5%E3%83%BC%E3%83%AA%E3%82%B9%E3%83%86%E3%82%A3%E3%82%AF%E3%82%B9\" target=\"_blank\">Heuristics \u2014 Wikipedia<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>When people make judgments, they often look at only a part of the situation and treat it as \u201crepresentative\u201d of the whole.<\/p>\n<p>Using this as a basis for decision-making is called the representativeness heuristic.<\/p>\n<p>There are three types of heuristics: \"representativeness,\" \"recall (availability),\" and \"anchoring.\"<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">If you've never been in an accident or suffered an injury in the past,<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">As a result of that shortcut in thinking,<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 20px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">That leads to the conclusion that I'm okay.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>It's just like buying a lottery ticket.<\/p>\n<p>You buy them thinking, \u201cMaybe I\u2019ll win this time!\u201d right? (I don\u2019t buy them, though, lol)<\/p>\n<p>Apparently, the odds of winning the first prize of 200 million are about 1 in 10 million.<\/p>\n<p>Even so, I can't help but think, \"Maybe I'll win!\"<\/p>\n<p>There was a sign at that sales counter that said, \u201cA first prize of 200 million was won right here!\u201d and,<\/p>\n<p>That's why you think, \"I should buy it here!\" And with all those commercials playing nonstop, it creates a positive image that you'll win.<\/p>\n<p>It gets planted in your mind without you even realizing it. (Commonly known as the \"anchoring effect.\")<br \/>\n Anchor Heuristics<\/p>\n<p>Because I can't imagine such an astronomical probability,<\/p>\n<p>\"I wonder if it'll work?\" he said.<strong>Getting Carried Away by a Simplistic Image<\/strong>That's right.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p><strong><span style=\"color: #ff0000; font-size: 20px;\">I just can't picture what kind of accidents happen on-site!<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This means that no matter how many \"KY\" activities we carry out or how much safety training we provide, they still can't seem to grasp the concept.<\/p>\n<p>That's why they engage in unsafe behavior.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m no exception\u2014I\u2019ve been in this industry for 21 years now.<\/p>\n<p>To date, there have been no accidents during construction on any of the sites I have supervised.<\/p>\n<p>So,<span style=\"font-size: 20px;\"><strong><span style=\"color: #ff00ff;\">I believe\u2014and so does my company\u2014that there is no way we would ever cause an accident.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>However,<span style=\"color: #ff0000; font-size: 20px;\"><strong>This just won't do.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>So, what should we do?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>I'll save that for another time.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>See you later.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hello, everyone. This is Enta.   Work is fully underway now. We\u2019re back on site starting today, too. Accidents do tend to happen more easily at this time of year.   People tend to let their guard down, after all. And they end up thinking, \u201cIt won\u2019t happen to me.\u201d \u2026<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2283,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[111],"tags":[89],"class_list":["post-2282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-safety","tag-89"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.4 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ 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